The scientists disagree with the necessity of the supernatural to explain the natural world. And no wonder most of them do not believe in the supernatural.
For science the world is naturalistic, until proven otherwise.
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That is the problem with most scientists, logical conclusions are dismissed because they can't see it with their eyes.. yet believe a fairy tale of beyond astronomical odds can actually occur.
The natural world and the factual truth does not have to agree with human logic.T Logic alone is not enough to say if something is a scientific truth. That is why we need to make experiments, to see if the theoretical conclusions agree with what is objectively observed in the factual world.
Scientists agree the odds of all this being a result of chance are too high to compute. It is based on the evidence acquired. You are free to believe that it could all have somehow still occur, best to you.
No, you don't calculate the odds of an event after it happened. Only before.
Many of your like minded disagree with you, Sagan among them.
All past events are unique and no two events are exactly the same. So the probability of any past event is as small as you want. It is just needed that you give more and more unique caracteristics of the event.
It's about the factors required to create the event.