Yes, the low could be in already. In fact yesterdays target 6,000$ was hit perfectly and BTC started turning.
But on the 2 hours chart and above, it looks like another low is needed to complete the pattern.
In fact a lot of people are waiting for this turn. This is why I favor another fake breakout in yellow wave 4, before a real turn happens.
For maximum pain, BTC could enter the triangle again, but bounce off the upper resistance line like this, right before dropping to the final low at the next support level which is expected to be 4,800$.
You can call me genius now. I still don't get how anybody can doubt that this is legit, because I have been showing some incredibly accurate shortterm price pathways like this one... precision hit once again. Of course it does not always work out as good as this example, but a few gold nuggets are enough to buy a house.
I gave you two price pathways, that did not differ much from each other, and the first one which I favored happened like I predicted. For me, this alone is confirmation enough that my count is right so far.
Here is another one for your enjoyment:
And another one:
And another one:
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If you think this to be useful information:
Feel free to use and share my charts, but please mention me, @ew-and-patterns as the author. Otherwise it is considered plagiarism and I will flag you and advise my friends to do the same.
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DISCLAIMER: This post / analysis serves general information purposes only. I am not, and never will be a financial adviser. The material in this post does not constitute any trading advice whatsoever. This is just the way I see the charts and what my trading ideas (from my personal experiences) are. I use chart pattern and Elliott Wave analysis for my trading ideas.
For full disclosure: The author of this post is holding positions in this market at the time of this post. Please conduct your own due diligence, if you plan to copy anyones investment decisions!
If you make any trades or investments after reading this post, it is completely in your own responsibility. I am not responsible for any of your losses. By reading this post you acknowledge and accept to never hold me accountable for any of your losses.
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Have a nice day :-)
If BTC hits sub $5000...I am definitely buying more.
It has been a nice little rebound. Looking forward to brighter days.
Here is my vision (the 15 min chart). I see the first impulse here, and it can be developed to both 5-3-5 link between two ZigZag's in double ZigZag Pattern, or the 5-3-5-3-5 -> to the moon.
My monitoring is aimed at the intensity of testing $8 000. If we test hard - Impulse. If there will be no hard-on on that goddamn sexy level -> 2ZZ.
More info can be found at my today and yesterday posts.
Thanks for the analysis, @ew-and-patterns! Proper job returns great results!
good! That is exactly the point. 5-3-5 drop or 5-3-5-3-5-ABC
I have a quick question on your first H&S chart and its suggested target of $2800. The Head is at $17,234.99, correct?
If so, then at what price point do you have the "neckline" occurring on January 6th, the day the "head" was established?
I calculate a neckline of roughly $10,147, which would translate to a height distance of roughly 7,087 points.
Basis the height in which you've calculated, what do you then have as a price point for the "Neckline breach on Feb-2?"
I have a rough price point for said neckline breach at about $8,043...
If you concur that $8043 (or thereabouts) is where the first breach of said neckline took place, and that the originating conventional "neckline" is in the vicinity of 10,147, then the classic (potential) price target from the said breach, which would be 7,087-pts beneath the point of the breach, should imply a potential downside target of $956. Yes, or no?
8043 (neckline breach point) - 7087 pts (height of Head to Neckline) = (potential downside target of) $956.
Just wondering if I'm missing something - or what price points it is that you are using to arrive at your stated $2800 measured target.
Thanks for your patience with this question, brother.
There are different ways to measure the target. You add the height of the neckline to the point of breach and get 956 as the target which is the classic approach. That's correct, but because I have seen a lot of H&S miss this target, I measure the minimum target differently. As you can see, I just project the height in the same angle downwards which leaves me at a minimum price target of 2800. It can be exceeded easily, but the probability of a legit H&S hitting this target is higher than hitting your target of 956.
That's all about it. Just a more cautious measurement. When analysing for an audience, it is always better to have the target exceeded, than missing the target ;-)
I hear you, brother! Thanks for clarifying your position... It is always a good practice to "under promise" and "over deliver." -
For embracing that general posture - you get EXTRA ninja-level "kudos" points from me, friend!
As for the benefit of the wider audience, with a quite similar intent to inform without "over-promising" ... H&S patterns and the targets derived from such are simply "references" from which to monitor future price action. They are NOT absolute predictions as to what will indeed occur...
Looking forward to your continued assessments of the intra-day price action, brother. Thank You, man!
As I mentioned to you previously, I'm going to continue looking for your short-term takes brother. I.e. - for your intra-day assessments as to whether or not the move up off the recent 5970.22 low turns out to be impulsive or corrective. Got my eye on you, bro - and I ain't taken it off. You ROCK! :-)
I think you are right. It looks due to turn now!
They hate us for our Bitcoinz!
well for awhile now cryptocurrency is experiencing a meltdown crash. Don't know when it's gonna come up. With your legit algorithm about BTC fall in the market, i know better and believe for a rise soon.
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it is most valuable information
thanks for sharing a useful information
Thanks a lot for sharing your valuable post....
Carry on next
Best of luck..
I will still wait for your next post....
hi. thanks for share. i posted my bitcoin ewp share yesterday and we thought the same thing. link below
https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@cryptoewp/bitcoin-ewp-analysis
Great information.
great information....thanks for update....
Thank you...great post......
Wow, interesting..
great information..
Good job
yeah interesting, i havent reached a stage yet where i understand these patterns, but i guess it will be the last low?
Likely, yes.
I see alot of people calling 5k as the bottom, what you think about my TA?
We saw a bounce on the channel but kinda broke it a bit and i dont think the overall volume was big, so the next key point is 5k
good one. Where does the lower trendline start so I can reproduce?
당신은 파동론을 아시는군요 :)
저또한 조정파동을 기다리고 있습니다
4시간차트에서 엘리엇파동의 3파동이 시작되었을 때 BTC마켓에서 상승파동을 가진 알트코인을 구매할 것입니다
하하
I haven't been following you very long, but you have been pretty damn on since I have been. Upvote for sure.
Thanks for sharing @ew-and-patterns. I have been following your posts and comparing your T.A. to mine, and it has helped me improve a lot over the past few weeks! I really appreciate the valuable information that you give out.
By the way, my Steemit Success Initiative project that I mentioned to you before is now live, the first post is on my page now. I would really appreciate your feedback on it!
It is futile to try and guess and/or pinpoint the bottom... Every time you try to guess the bottom you will most likely get hit by the falling knife. The only way to spot a change in trend is AFTER it has happened... Wait until the chart has a week or two worth of price action that clearly shows a change in the trend.
We've had all the TA guys trying to guess the bottom for two weeks now... only to get burned by almost immediately lol.
We're still significantly below the moving averages, and the one day candles are still downtrending, but the next few days will be telling. We've had these spikes many times in the past month, but have continued to hit lower lows. I think we may still hit a new low before bouncing back. However, the Senate hearing today was quite bullish ..
are you saying bitcoin will go up till $8500 and than head back to new lower low? need to get back to fiat before that happens than?
There are no guarantees and I can't make that decision for you. I can only tell you that I am HODLing and continuing to predict shortterm price pathways.
Off course and your TA were accurate the last time you mentioned about the fake breakout. I do feel this time it could be another fake breakout. thanks for your reply
For complete the pattern and it down into 4,800$ it is no problem if there have possibility to increase again and hit 20,000!!
But how much have possibility to hit such a rate?
That depends on whether we have a cycle degree wave one @ 20,000 or not. If not, BTC should be able to rise to 40,000+ in 2018. But if it is a cycle wave one, we will likely not see a new ATH this year.