I ask myself similar questions. As a result, I have decided to allocate only 10% of overall crypto budget to long term holdings. The rest is used for swing trades based on technical analysis. I typically do not hold an investment longer than 30 days. With the crazy volatility in the market, this strategy is working well.
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Thanks for responding. Portfolio management is an entirely different beast, but staying light on your feet and active helps lay off a great deal of the inherent risk of the overall market being the way it is. My point was more predicated upon the status of the overall marketplace, but at the moment you can throw a dart at virtually any crypto and expect gains. Smart people know when to duck and cover when it rains. Good luck out there!