BTC touched 2700USD and went into correction to 2400. Nothing scary for now.
But while BTC was going up, people started dumping altcoins like never before.
Looking on charts reminds the famous Game of Thrones (you like this series? Write in comments!) episode The Rains of Castamere known as Red Wedding.
Top Bittrex Losers
Some good coins here VOX GOLOS XMR XZC got a hit.
Global CoinMarket Losers
Very similar.
Bittrex Coins That Dont Care
Everything that has more than 1 number volume is a good project with real pump not few sales. EXCL and SYS fully deserving it imo.
Globals That Dont Care
MOON coin pumping here is very funny. BLOOD coin would be funny to see also.
Sadly STEEM Cares
Bitshares care too.
Conclusion
This day was/is scary for many people so wanted to put a little humor here. Also cheap coins in red can be a good entry points to get prepared for future pumps.
Follow, Resteem and VOTE UP @kingscrown creator of http://fuk.io blog for 0day cryptocurrency news and tips! |
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I think we're due for a test of the 200 daily simple moving average (DSMA). The 50 DSMA (red line on the hourly chart for BTCUSD, shown below) has been tested extensively and has held up well, but weakened on the last two tests (with momentary price breaches, leading to "throw backs"). This is generally my sign that the next test will be a failure.
The next major dynamic support could be the 100 DSMA (not shown on the chart), but more likely the 200 DSMA (pink line on chart).
https://www.tradingview.com/x/IBeboUoh/
Looking like the test may happen pretty soon. Have some odd price action happening lately with an intermediate higher high and currently matching the last two lows. We could be forming a head and shoulders top with the left shoulder and head already in (awaiting the formation of the right shoulder).
https://www.tradingview.com/x/wiIpGVzn/
If we forget about the wicks, it's forming a "mega-phone" pattern.
Always good to keep an eye on the SMAs.
It's possible that I'm wrong, but when you have an hourly chart as you have in your image, the SMAs for the hourly won't match the daily SMAs.
Here's my daily chart showing the current 200 SMA at ~1100 (the orange line):
https://www.tradingview.com/x/hTIKXsLn/
Would be happy to discuss more. I only have about a year of technical analysis under my belt at this point, and just started charting the cryptos, so I'm open to feedback.
Agree. Moving averages give us an idea about the short to long-term momentum within the market. For the hourly, I consider the 50 SMA to be the "short-term" moving average and the 200 SMA the long-term moving average. I always know to stay away from a trade if it's trading too far above the 50 SMA and I start to get a little suspicious if it goes too long without pulling in for a test of the 200. The SMAs also work great for signaling whether it's an opportune time to trade a breakout (from pattern or support/ resistance) or not.
You're right about the hourly and daily SMAs not matching. The number determines the "look-back" period, so the 200 SMA for the hourly accounts for the average of the last 200 hours while the daily accounts for the last 200 days.
Exactly. Thanks for the clarification. I think it helps those who may be newer to trading. I doubt we go right back to the 200 day SMA quickly, but could definitely see a bit of consolidation coming up allowing those SMAs to "catch up" a bit.
Happy trading!
Yes, in a strong bull market that would be the usual scenario for the 200 SMA test. We could form a symmetrical or ascending triangle (which bitcoin is famous for) allowing the 200 to catch up. The closer it gets, the more it supports a breakout of resistance.
Interesting, thanx!
You bet :)
Great analysis. I have been tracking btc via the U.S. exchange traded tracker GBTC. Altho there was no short term sell signal as of yet, the chart is showing as a short term confirmed top by my indicators. And there are lows below that need to get taken out down to 160.00. I think that would translate to a bitcoin price somewhere around $1500 or so. If this ends up being the case I might just buy lunch for the person who has the "guts" to say >>> "Buy the pullback!" at the right time. We might just see euphoria morph into outright panic...all in a 7 day trading period. But that's what happens when you actually "think" the market in bitcoin is different than any other market. It's all a matter of fear vs greed. And rarely do we see greed reach the euphoric levels we just saw in bitcoin. The GBTC chart. It can still save itself with a short term buy signal. But a short term sell signal at a lower high would be absolutely deadly. I will update the GBTC scenario at my blog here.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=gbtc&x=35&y=8&time=18&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=2%2F18%2F2017&freq=7&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1024&lf2=2&lf3=8&type=2&style=320&size=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
Yes, I wouldn't be surprised at all it BTC goes down to test somewhere between $1,500.00 and 1,800.00. I'll be buying a bit if it reaches there, too (good value buys, IMO).
You meant to say "maybe" you'll buy then. There is also a chance you'll be too skeeerd to buy. No need to be tho. Just follow my updates.
Don't push the maybe, baby :P
I'm pretty fearless when it comes to trading the markets, meaning if I have a plan to buy a deep retrace, 99 times out of 100 I stick with it.
I appreciate your offer, though, and I'll give you a follow so I can check out what you got going on :)
LOL I apologize...sir. :-) I didn't realize who I was spewing at. Bingo! You are on my watchlist also. :-)
GOOD ONE!!!
great information...
Thank you.
u r welcome...
Nice analysis, I agree, adding you to my follow list this minute.
thanks
edit: ha, you were already there
Haha. Thanks :)
@kingscrown Thanks for making this post! Interesting to observe how the markets are responding and Steem! :)
Oh boy.
I saw the chart and the BLOOD lines were real.
In fact, I INVESTED In alt coins as they went down..
Specifically into Litecoin and Ripple.
Firmly believe these are exciting times ahead and wish to enjoy it while it lasts.
And there's Steem!
It did go down...
But not like the rest.
With the power down that takes week... I don't see how Steem will go minus 30% and above.
Must admit: Enjoying this crypto game to the core.
Oh LTC is amazing i believe it will go up alot this year (month?).
I started investing in LTC because it was cheap back in 2013.
Also, back in 2013....
I was a noob and started day trading for fun.
One thing led to another, I bought more LTCs and sold half of them at a greater price!
Then the MT GOX left me panicked.
Messed up and sold. Then NEVER picked up LTCs when they were just $4.
I thought it was a dead coin.
It slowly grew but I lost interest.
Then last month it was listed on Coinbase and shot up from 15 to 30 in a week!
Next was Segwit activation that promised LTC to touch $50 at least...
We are waiting for that. Everyone says, and believes, LTC is under-valued. All I know is I have very little of them and have been buying them little by little. :)
Learned from my mistake. I will only HOLD now!
So yes, LTC has definitely had its moment. It is not at its peak though!
It was imminent, the way it gained over $200 today was really unnatural and bound to be corrected. Back at $2500 thought and should close around $2600 today which isthe naturally expected one.
Why did I say this lol, down $60 in last 5minutes again. VOLATILE as can be.
Haha nobody can predict crazy markets :)
Good post, with some interesting obervations. It's a good lesson on keeping the majority of your crypto holdings in BTC and other top tier alt coins. Having stated that, most of the ones on the "don't care" list are certainly not top tier. The next time we get a big drop, the list will likely look completely different.
This was my post from a few days ago, "Altcoin Mania - Time for caution?"
Please choose wisely before purchasing altcoins, appears there are now hundreds to choose from and many are likely to go to zero in my opinion.
Yes! My friend freaked a bit. I had to console him. And I was kind of hoping you would console me soon! Thanks! ;)
Thats what beer is for :)
When you cry i buy
Haha, nice one!
A correction was definitely due, and I doubt this is the only one we'll see. Almost pulled the trigger on PIVX when it was down to about $0.80, kicking myself now that its just about doubled over the past few hours. But I like the portfolio I got going now so I'm trying to hodl for a while and see where it takes me.
Theres so many boats and trains.. impossible to not miss some :) Watch MN family though -DASH PIVX EXCL MUE CRW
I love GoT, I have watched the killing scene in the red wedding roundabout ten times 😅 Because I couldn't believe it 😂
Just a correction. Bloodbath correction
These jumps in crypto currencies reminds me of the Tulip inflation. People are running it up until it loses its luster. I do wish I would have gotten in on the beginning, but anyone investing at these prices now is late to the game.
lol
Bitcoin has crossed more than 3000$ in India. Good times ahead.
Couldn't it simply be that altcoin holders are locking-in gains from the recent altcoin rally and using Bitcoin as the medium for cashing out?
This would be consistent with a Bitcoin boom, altcoin drop, then Bitcoin drop (in fiat) as people cash out.
Time to buy more steem :D
Congratulations @kingscrown!
Your post was mentioned in my hit parade in the following categories:
I've been trying to buy since last night with no luck. Looks like I am lucky now
I'm not worried, it's a normal pull back in the volatile world that is crypto...this kind of action comes with the territory that we signed up for. Steem on my friends!
Get your BloodMoon coin, "only for vampires", out there King, before it's too late!
The big correction in the cryptomarket is coming!
Upvoted
Dobry tekst. Czemu jeszcze nie followujemy siebie nawzajem @kingscrown?
you are perfect
Following the advice of Martin Garrix when it comes to cryptocurrencies: "Hold On & Believe."
A bloodbath for certain but hey let's face it, we were due for a correction on some scale.
Great topic, thanks for posting.
E-Currency Market Musing: Bitcoin and Etherium are having a blow off top. As a seasoned trader, I will wait to see how long and how deep this pullback will last. Then will make a strong buy recommendation on both and perhaps Steemit too. Should be a lot of market volatility through the end of May. thinking payday end of month may bring new buyers and Money into e-currencies. Expect same upside middle of June too..appreciate any feedback....
Long live the Crypo's
Can anyone tell me how news effects the coins? I couldnt think of the relationship.
It's time to snap up cheap VOX. : )
ha ha dump all shitcoin s and buy bitcoin :D
The tides will turn before you know it. Surprised how well vericoin did. And verium.
Huh yes, the bloodbath wedding that ends the season...
Nothing last forever, I guess.
Please check out my posts, tell me if you like them. :)
So many of the alt coins have to first be transferred to Bitcoin to get into and out of the coin. This point was made by another Steemit poster. I never thought about how that in itself could affect the price of Bitcoin? Of the coins that crashed, is there one you would buy right now?
Sadly to see steem today
Your post is very helpful to me, always share your latest posts I will always follow you. Your posts turn my motivation back on. thanks!!!
Good and interesting post !!
great post.. I am exited whats happening the next days
When the correction comes, I'll be ready to buy. Bitcoin will be around for a long time.
Great info. Thanks for posting.
resteem and upvote for your post....
Now is the time to buy those great coins that has climb down to -20% example DGB,Reddcoin, ripple and litecoin.
I was expecting a worse correction... depending on the exchange and the times of day you measure from, I figured anywhere from ~ 10-20% correction. The only altcoin of mine that held up was ETC, and I swapped it for BTC and the bottom. Looking to rebuy that soon.
People get scared so easily whenever some of their coins drop. 1 day later and everything is fine again^^
My strategy is always put your money in good coins like - stellar lumens, steem, golem, maidsafe, nem, digibyte, waves, ether, dash, LTC and BITCOIN.
Point here is, even if market goes into RED, buy more and if in green buy more. You will never be in trouble if you have position in solid coins and the fact is when market runs, these are the coins who participate in the rally immediately and are going to stay at the top.
the altcoins did not fall so hard....most of them stayed at he same level. It was BTC going up and dwarfing them...at 2700 and when btc came back down the red was becoming green again.
PIVX is also in your list of losers, but it has been falling for a while now regardless of BTC's price. BUT it has reached the bottom yesterday and went up like crazy!!!
Good analysis. It is informative and as i crave to learn more thus I follow. Cheers!!!
Like the series? What about the books? I LOVE it and can probably school you in a lore match-up...
But apart from that, thank you for some useful info. I am absorbing what I can seeing as I am still new to crypto.
I did not read books so surely you have upperhand ;)
You clearly know nothing! You never admit that you are at a disadvantage... Did Littlefinger and Varys not show you that?
But I am joking of course. Do not bake me into a pie...
LOL :)
Very wellsaid bro... following you & upvoting
@kingscrown I envy such people who understand this)