BTC rally at a decision point + Possible bitshares buying opportunity!

in #bitcoin8 years ago

Market update time - it's now been about 4 weeks since I said a bitcoin rally was imminent and now BTC has risen 909 cny or ~ $134 USD.

We're now sitting at a decision point, right below some major sell resistance.
I've done some super-professional technical analysis and popped my expectations in red and green squiggles in the chart down below.


Okcoin BTCCNY Weekly chart at 11:45pm AEST 01/11/2016
View full size ~ View Live Chart

As you can see, both are fairly bullish expectations. Bitcoin has matured nicely since the last major bubble and there is a lot of uncertainty in world politics right now, so I expect both Bitcoin and Gold to do pretty well for at least the next few months.

Green (Bullish AF) : We break through the resistance, trigger a heap of stop losses and race to the moon - next major resistance is near the previous rally highs at 6200 CNY or ~ $910 USD .

The weekly macd turn, and current political chaos support this theory imo , but alt-coins probably won't enjoy this..

Red (Bullish consolidation) : We fail to break through resistance for a few weeks, buyers lose confidence and we fall back to previous support levels to consolidate. I don't expect major panic sells (except on okcasino futures), going to around 4240 cny or ~ $620 USD at the lowest before building support and continuing the trend in a few months.

The Stoch RSI and ChangeMO support this theory imo, and alt coins will probably rally ...


I've been looking around for a mature alt-coin to try and diversify some of my bitcoin into if the resistance is too strong and it looks like its taking the red consolidation path.

After a look around a heap of long term alt-coin charts I'm 90% convinced I should buy some cheap bitshares soon.


Bitshares / Bitcoin Weekly Poloniex chart
View Full Size ~ View Live Chart

I don't have any experience with Bitshares yet , but I see these positive signs :

  • We are just above the monthly S1 Support at 0.00000518 btc
  • We are also sitting above the yearly S1 Support at 0.00000425 btc
  • Stochastic RSI is almost on the floor and beginning to turn back up
  • Bollinger Band width is at levels not seen since March 2015 , approaching its all time low

I also recently spotted that there are major updates to the underlying tech coming, and they can be ported to bitshares or any other graphene chain.

This may not have been priced into bitshares yet, so once I think Bitcoin is consolidating I'll be grabbing some :)

What do you think ? Do you have any alt you've been watching ?

Disclaimer: Do not make any trades based on my advice, I'm not a professional and I take no responsibility for your losses - do you own research!

~ @ausbitbank ~

Sort:  

I also recently spotted that there are major updates to the underlying tech coming, and they can be ported to bitshares or any other graphene chain.

This may not have been priced into bitshares yet, so once I think Bitcoin is consolidating I'll be grabbing some :)

This is basically crypto-investing 101 haha. Buy when you hear a big upgrade coming up when volume and price have been low for a while. Excited about what happens after btc settles down or starts losing dominance over the other currencies.

Interesting thoughts. Thanks for your analysis. Out of curiosity, have you looked into the peerplays coin yet? That is another one that has my interest, but I haven't spent much time looking into it yet.

I keep hearing good things but havent done a lot of research yet, thanks for the reminder

Peerplays has been one of the best investments of this year so far. Love the concept.

Bought 40 during the second batch of sales. :)

Excelente trabajo gracias por la informacion

thankyou for your analysis. how about ether?

https://blog.ethereum.org/2016/11/01/security-alert-solidity-variables-can-overwritten-storage/ this bug was announced yesterday, i expect more dumps on eth but i havent charted it recently