Universal basic income is just socialism/communism repackaged. More dystopian results wrapped in a thin viral shell of utopianism. The Earth is littered with the remains of the bodies of hundreds of millions of dead resulting from the repeated attempts at Communism, yet people keep saying "oh that wasn't real communism, lets try it again". Please read my article on why universal basic income is a dangerous idea destined to fail: https://steemit.com/politics/@ericarthurblair/universal-basic-income-slavery
Sorry, but Alaska is not an example of communism, and Milton Friedman and Friedrich Hayek did not go down in history as free market communists. You show a poor understanding of what UBI is and what it has the potential to replace, and I suggest doing more reading about how important UBI is to capitalism not destroying itself.
No, Alaska is an example of a state with lots of natural resources and a small population. What happens when the resources run out or the price drops? Oops, I guess we now have thousands of dependent people with no survival or work skills. See Venezuela.
Milton Friedman DID NOT support UBI, that is a complete manipulation of his words. Friedman supported "negative income tax" which is a very different thing, and he even makes the specific distinction between the two in the interview below. Even if he did support it, Milton Friedman is not my God, and I don't have to agree with everything he advocated.
I know exactly what UBI is, and what you theoretically THINK it will fix. Your arguments are ideological and rely almost exclusively on rhetoric. I could write an entire paper breaking down the arguments you make in that article and show why they have no basis and are completely manipulative.
Anything even resembling economics or science is done on such a small scale to be totally irrelevant to a real world roll out of UBI in a large industrialized nation such as the USA. Even the tiny nation of Finland showed mixed results at best experimenting with implementing UBI. You can do 10,000 tiny studies and it is still not evidence of what will happen to society on a larger scale once implemented. Try actually reading the article I wrote and refute the points made there.
Wow, you really think you know a lot of things you don't actually know. Okay, so you've never read that Milton Friedman supported UBI. Does that mean he didn't? Or does it mean you just haven't read where he did? Because guess what, he did, and here's what he said when he was specifically asked about UBI:
“A basic or citizen’s income is not an alternative to a negative income tax. It is simply another way to introduce a negative income tax if it is accompanied with a positive income tax with no exemption. A basic income of a thousand units with a 20 percent rate on earned income is equivalent to a negative income tax with an exemption of five thousand units and a 20 percent rate below and above five thousand units.”
So now that you know that, how does it impact your thinking? Milton was right. UBI and NIT are indeed two ways of accomplishing the same thing, and if you read the hyperlink above, you'll better understand that.
You also show that you don't understand what's going on in Alaska. What happens when the oil runs out? The dividends keep on going. That's the entire point of setting up the Alaska Permanent Fund in the first place, which is now over $61 billion in size, to transform a non-renewable resource (oil) into a renewable resource (money). The fund is invested in markets, and the dividend it earns is divided among all Alaskan residents.
Oil is also not the only way of going about creating such a fund. There are many resources that can be used. I suggest looking into them. Here's a good paper about it if you're down for reading a paper to learn lots of new things.
You also show you don't even know what's going on in Finland. It showed mixed results? No it didn't. There ARE NO RESULTS, because the experiment is ongoing to the end of the year. There's not even any preliminary data because there's no access to it yet. Results will be known by the end of next year or early 2020.
You don't know what you think you know. You appear to like to make shit up, or to just accept as fact what others have said, without actually looking into it to verify accuracy.
By the way, your article is just as full of shit as the rest of what you've said here. The very first claim you make is that it's a simple law that if you provide people money all prices rise.
Here's just one example for you to chew on. Let's say a village has an egg scarcity, but people like eggs, so the cost is $1 per egg. Then, everyone is provided UBI. According to your "law" of economics, the cost of eggs should rise.
What happens when a bunch of people use their money to buy chickens? Suddenly, the supply of eggs skyrockets. What happens then? The cost of eggs falls of course, because eggs are now abundant instead of scarce.
Oops, there goes your "law of economics."
By the way, UBI is not about expanding the money supply and dropping new money on everyone (although some people do like that idea). The reason it and NIT are alike, is that both are a net transfer from those above a threshold point to those below a threshold point. That's not inflationary. It's moving existing money from one place to another. And although that can still have some effects on prices, there are a lot of variables involved such that some prices would go up, some down, and some wouldn't be affected at all, and all of these effects also vary by time, such that they can be observed for a matter of days or years depending on other factors.
Markets are not static models. They are complex adaptive systems.
First of all that is not a quote of Friedman supporting UBI, that is him comparing them in a way that is selectively taken out of context in a manipulative way. Second, as I explained before Friedman is not God and he doesn't have all the answers EVEN IF HE DID support UBI (which he doesn't). The interview I linked previously shows him comparing UBI with NIT, and why he supports NIT over UBI specifically.
Regarding Alaska, just because a fund is in place to account for minor market oscillations does not mean the money supplying it is infinite. The same goes for any natural resource. There is no such thing as an infinite supply of anything (except maybe ignorance).
Regarding Finland, no official results have not yet been published. However that by no means makes it impossible to observe existing trends and make extrapolations of the success or failure (in this case failure) of the experiment.
By the way "your article is full of shit" is not a refutation of any of the points made there. Let me ask you a question about your simplistic chicken analogy. What then happens to the price of chicken feed? There is always another down chain cost created by inflation. Your premise operates on the illusion that handing out money will magically make more resources available. Furthermore handing out money is destructive to the VITAL price discovery system of which any resource based economy is based off of. Without that there is no accurate way of monitoring scarcity and value of goods, and the systems of production are destructively skewed.
As far as your "net transfer from those above a threshold point to those below a threshold point", that is also known as re-distribution of wealth, and is at the core of Communist ideology, no matter how apolitical you claim UBI to be. These people may be disproportionately wealthy but they are also the people that GENERATE most of the wealth to begin with. At a certain point you keep taking more and more until they no longer have motivations to keep producing at such levels and tax revenue starts falling.
Once again, the problem with wealth redistribution is eventually you run out of other people's money to spend, then the resulting system simply eats itself as has been demonstrated every time in history when such an economic model was attempted on a large scale. Bury it in all the terminology you like, you are still talking about using the state to take from some by force to give to others.
Markets are complex adaptive systems, yes. However resources are not. Resources are quite finite, and you can wave your magic wand over the money all you want and in whatever way, but more money does not equal more resources.
handing out money is destructive to the VITAL price discovery system of which any resource based economy is based off of.
To the contrary, there is no price discovery possible if people don't have money to signal demand for goods and services.
I suggest reading this to get a bit deeper into just how badly markets can be distorted when a large group of participants have no means of participating in the price discovery calculation mechanism.
The price system may run into trouble on the low end of the economic spectrum: How can someone send a price signal when they don’t have any money at all? How can the comparatively feeble price signals of the very poor compete with the price signals of the middle class, which are strong and (happily) getting stronger?
It’s possible, and tempting, to make gross simplifications of this situation. But the impaired ability of the poor to signal via the price mechanism has some predictable effects, and they aren’t especially good. We might say, for example, that inexpensive, high-quality basic consumption goods will be underprovided, in favor of conspicuously non-basic goods. The latter signal at great cost that the consumer belongs to a higher social class. That’s a big problem if you’re poor. (Revealing, too, is that the word “basic” itself has acquired such a negative connotation in recent years.)
We might further hypothesize that when charity is left to the upper classes, a good deal of supposed charitable expenditure will be devoted instead to virtue signaling. Charity will tend to be demonstrative rather than helpful, a subject I’ve discussed before. Charity in the form of simple cash transfers to the indigent will almost certainly be more efficient, and Hayek’s theory of price signals explains why this is so, and this would apply as well to state-provided charity as private.
In short, it seems that an unconditional basic income might do three important things in light of the Hayekian price system:
A UBI would allow the indigent to communicate their needs by means of efficient price signals, rather than relying on inefficient charities to do the exact same thing. The needs of the indigent would therefore be met more effectively, as the economy re-ordered itself to match them.
A UBI would allow the price signals of the indigent to compete somewhat better with the signals being sent by the still-rising middle class. May our middle class rise forever, but long as they do, the gap between them and the utterly indigent is going to grow. That’s a real problem as regards the communication of local knowledge in the economy, but it’s also a problem that a UBI could address.
The unconditional nature of a UBI would prevent the market distortions inherent in conditional grants, which always incentivize or disincentivize particular behaviors. The incentives that are set up by means of conditional grants are the product of politics, and to the extent that politics intrudes on the economic process, it crowds out the price signals that communicate consumers’ actual needs. Hayek argues that such intrusions should be resisted with great force, and a UBI might be one means of doing so.
By the way, you're welcome to read the actual interview with Milton Friedman instead of continuing to pretend you know what he was thinking.
So by your logic if there is no UBI suddenly money ceases to exist completely and we can't have price discovery? You are quite the contrarian. That works good for ideology, not regarding the laws of economics so much. Price discovery does not cease to exist just because certain people don't participate in the market.
The fact that you linked this segment of an article as an argument shows me you nor the author have any understanding of the definition or function of price discovery (or perhaps are willfully perverting it).
Price discovery is the method by which producers are signaled the supply and demand of limited resources and therefore are able to price them correctly. Certain portions of people not participating in the market (even if true), do not prevent the mechanism of price discovery of RESOURCES. An individual person or even groups of people's inability to "price signal" as the article puts it is irrelevant to the price discovery mechanism because some one else wants those resources more and they are willing to pay for it. No amount of waving your magic money wand will make producers want to sell resources for less than what they could realistically get.
In short price discovery sets the value and price of resources. With out it there is no reliable way to do so and production is interrupted resulting in over or under supply causing instability and shortages long term, for everyone.
I have read enough of Friedman to know he did not support UBI, and enough of your work to know you hear what you like and discount the rest. That article is more contrarian tripe again jam packed with rhetorical and ideological arguments sprinkled with economic terminology in a sad attempt to give it credence.
So we just go on as we are?
Subservient to an economy that serves humanity less and less with a growing accumulation of wealth in fewer and fewer privileged hands. Wealth not necessarily resulting from the work of those hands. It is more often than not inherited wealth or wealth gained from rentierism and speculation while more and more of those people who did actually create wealth are living on streets and relying on food banks after the industries they once worked in have departed leaving communities high and dry and destitute including less taxes paid and declining public services.
You don't offer any alternatives in your defence of Capitalism which in itself is a man made finite economic system.
I say start with the needs of human beings in developing an economy rather than the needs of an economy at the expense of human beings.
I am sure a proposition that Eric Arthur Blair would agree with.
As for money supply -there seems to be enough for the Pentagon to misplace 21trillion$
I don't have to have the answer to point out UBI is not a solution. An argument against UBI is not an argument for the status-quo. Big problems exist and need to be solved.
The problem is no matter how much or what you feel about this reality does not magically create more resources. Good intentions can have disastrous consequences often larger than the original problem that act was attempting to resolve.
You act as if we are operating under true "free market"capitalism, but we are not. Government and industry collude to minimize competition for certain oligarchs in exchange for offering the state access to its infrastructure and work around constitutional protections from government by operating within a private entity.
Your "bottom up" approach, while superficially I am sure feels quite noble but if you were to implement it you would create more suffering than you could even imagine, including for those you claim to wish to help.
We need to hold criminals within our government and infrastructure accountable. Enforce existing laws. We do not need to resort to a post modernist deconstructivist approach to every problem encountered.
I'm already on Manna. Will sign up for Swift, too.
Your article brings up another reason I like the concept of basic income. One thing that I've thought about with the idea of everyone doing what they want to do is this:
There will always be people who want to do the job that no one else wants to do. They want to solve problems with the skills and experience they have. There are 7 billion people on the planet. Someone out there really enjoys designing systems that turn sewage into something useful and benign to the environment. Someone out there enjoys taking our garbage from the street. Someone enjoys serving meals to the elderly.
The diversity of human beings ensures that someone has a desire to do any job that needs to be done, and no force is required to make him do it. I have a fair amount of confidence that with a basic income for everyone, the right person will be attracted to the right job.
Interesting read, and I like the correlation with Monsters, Inc.
How would you address the problem with 'work that no one wants to do?'
Not many people likely take joy in taking out the trash, or in cleaning the sewers. I don't know how many people would necessarily volunteer to clean out the bathrooms of an office, or dig up the graves of the dead.
Wouldn't these types of work still require some high level of incentive for the individuals?
When you stop to think about it, our labor market is broken for work no one wants to do. When it comes to pricing for a job with low demand, employers should have to do more to make that job attractive. That should involve higher pay, better hours, better benefits, better conditions, etc. The fact those jobs tend to pay the least, shows that there is no free market for labor. People are doing those jobs because they have no ability to refuse them.
This is also bad for productivity and automation. Basically, humans are competing against each other, bidding down their wages to make their labor cheaper than robots, because they need the money to live. Thus, the cost of labor is below what it should be, preventing greater rates of automation.
We want robots to do the machines we don't want to do. If people ask too much to do an unwanted job, that makes automating that job that much more attractive.
Good point, forgot about automation. Robots are probably the answer.
Automation and AI, in my mind, is the primary reason for discussing a UBI in the first place. Won't take long before machine learning takes a good portion of information-based jobs away.
You're welcome, Scott! You're one of the few people on the internet that I admire. I will never forget how you came to me for that article I did on basic income and Maslow's Hierarchy of needs, and in my own small way, this is to honor you and your work.
Universal basic income is just socialism/communism repackaged. More dystopian results wrapped in a thin viral shell of utopianism. The Earth is littered with the remains of the bodies of hundreds of millions of dead resulting from the repeated attempts at Communism, yet people keep saying "oh that wasn't real communism, lets try it again". Please read my article on why universal basic income is a dangerous idea destined to fail: https://steemit.com/politics/@ericarthurblair/universal-basic-income-slavery
Sorry, but Alaska is not an example of communism, and Milton Friedman and Friedrich Hayek did not go down in history as free market communists. You show a poor understanding of what UBI is and what it has the potential to replace, and I suggest doing more reading about how important UBI is to capitalism not destroying itself.
http://www.scottsantens.com/if-you-think-basic-income-is-free-money-or-socialism-think-again
No, Alaska is an example of a state with lots of natural resources and a small population. What happens when the resources run out or the price drops? Oops, I guess we now have thousands of dependent people with no survival or work skills. See Venezuela.
Milton Friedman DID NOT support UBI, that is a complete manipulation of his words. Friedman supported "negative income tax" which is a very different thing, and he even makes the specific distinction between the two in the interview below. Even if he did support it, Milton Friedman is not my God, and I don't have to agree with everything he advocated.
I know exactly what UBI is, and what you theoretically THINK it will fix. Your arguments are ideological and rely almost exclusively on rhetoric. I could write an entire paper breaking down the arguments you make in that article and show why they have no basis and are completely manipulative.
Anything even resembling economics or science is done on such a small scale to be totally irrelevant to a real world roll out of UBI in a large industrialized nation such as the USA. Even the tiny nation of Finland showed mixed results at best experimenting with implementing UBI. You can do 10,000 tiny studies and it is still not evidence of what will happen to society on a larger scale once implemented. Try actually reading the article I wrote and refute the points made there.
Wow, you really think you know a lot of things you don't actually know. Okay, so you've never read that Milton Friedman supported UBI. Does that mean he didn't? Or does it mean you just haven't read where he did? Because guess what, he did, and here's what he said when he was specifically asked about UBI:
So now that you know that, how does it impact your thinking? Milton was right. UBI and NIT are indeed two ways of accomplishing the same thing, and if you read the hyperlink above, you'll better understand that.
You also show that you don't understand what's going on in Alaska. What happens when the oil runs out? The dividends keep on going. That's the entire point of setting up the Alaska Permanent Fund in the first place, which is now over $61 billion in size, to transform a non-renewable resource (oil) into a renewable resource (money). The fund is invested in markets, and the dividend it earns is divided among all Alaskan residents.
Oil is also not the only way of going about creating such a fund. There are many resources that can be used. I suggest looking into them. Here's a good paper about it if you're down for reading a paper to learn lots of new things.
You also show you don't even know what's going on in Finland. It showed mixed results? No it didn't. There ARE NO RESULTS, because the experiment is ongoing to the end of the year. There's not even any preliminary data because there's no access to it yet. Results will be known by the end of next year or early 2020.
You don't know what you think you know. You appear to like to make shit up, or to just accept as fact what others have said, without actually looking into it to verify accuracy.
By the way, your article is just as full of shit as the rest of what you've said here. The very first claim you make is that it's a simple law that if you provide people money all prices rise.
Here's just one example for you to chew on. Let's say a village has an egg scarcity, but people like eggs, so the cost is $1 per egg. Then, everyone is provided UBI. According to your "law" of economics, the cost of eggs should rise.
What happens when a bunch of people use their money to buy chickens? Suddenly, the supply of eggs skyrockets. What happens then? The cost of eggs falls of course, because eggs are now abundant instead of scarce.
Oops, there goes your "law of economics."
By the way, UBI is not about expanding the money supply and dropping new money on everyone (although some people do like that idea). The reason it and NIT are alike, is that both are a net transfer from those above a threshold point to those below a threshold point. That's not inflationary. It's moving existing money from one place to another. And although that can still have some effects on prices, there are a lot of variables involved such that some prices would go up, some down, and some wouldn't be affected at all, and all of these effects also vary by time, such that they can be observed for a matter of days or years depending on other factors.
Markets are not static models. They are complex adaptive systems.
First of all that is not a quote of Friedman supporting UBI, that is him comparing them in a way that is selectively taken out of context in a manipulative way. Second, as I explained before Friedman is not God and he doesn't have all the answers EVEN IF HE DID support UBI (which he doesn't). The interview I linked previously shows him comparing UBI with NIT, and why he supports NIT over UBI specifically.
Regarding Alaska, just because a fund is in place to account for minor market oscillations does not mean the money supplying it is infinite. The same goes for any natural resource. There is no such thing as an infinite supply of anything (except maybe ignorance).
Regarding Finland, no official results have not yet been published. However that by no means makes it impossible to observe existing trends and make extrapolations of the success or failure (in this case failure) of the experiment.
By the way "your article is full of shit" is not a refutation of any of the points made there. Let me ask you a question about your simplistic chicken analogy. What then happens to the price of chicken feed? There is always another down chain cost created by inflation. Your premise operates on the illusion that handing out money will magically make more resources available. Furthermore handing out money is destructive to the VITAL price discovery system of which any resource based economy is based off of. Without that there is no accurate way of monitoring scarcity and value of goods, and the systems of production are destructively skewed.
As far as your "net transfer from those above a threshold point to those below a threshold point", that is also known as re-distribution of wealth, and is at the core of Communist ideology, no matter how apolitical you claim UBI to be. These people may be disproportionately wealthy but they are also the people that GENERATE most of the wealth to begin with. At a certain point you keep taking more and more until they no longer have motivations to keep producing at such levels and tax revenue starts falling.
Once again, the problem with wealth redistribution is eventually you run out of other people's money to spend, then the resulting system simply eats itself as has been demonstrated every time in history when such an economic model was attempted on a large scale. Bury it in all the terminology you like, you are still talking about using the state to take from some by force to give to others.
Markets are complex adaptive systems, yes. However resources are not. Resources are quite finite, and you can wave your magic wand over the money all you want and in whatever way, but more money does not equal more resources.
To the contrary, there is no price discovery possible if people don't have money to signal demand for goods and services.
I suggest reading this to get a bit deeper into just how badly markets can be distorted when a large group of participants have no means of participating in the price discovery calculation mechanism.
By the way, you're welcome to read the actual interview with Milton Friedman instead of continuing to pretend you know what he was thinking.
So by your logic if there is no UBI suddenly money ceases to exist completely and we can't have price discovery? You are quite the contrarian. That works good for ideology, not regarding the laws of economics so much. Price discovery does not cease to exist just because certain people don't participate in the market.
The fact that you linked this segment of an article as an argument shows me you nor the author have any understanding of the definition or function of price discovery (or perhaps are willfully perverting it).
Price discovery is the method by which producers are signaled the supply and demand of limited resources and therefore are able to price them correctly. Certain portions of people not participating in the market (even if true), do not prevent the mechanism of price discovery of RESOURCES. An individual person or even groups of people's inability to "price signal" as the article puts it is irrelevant to the price discovery mechanism because some one else wants those resources more and they are willing to pay for it. No amount of waving your magic money wand will make producers want to sell resources for less than what they could realistically get.
In short price discovery sets the value and price of resources. With out it there is no reliable way to do so and production is interrupted resulting in over or under supply causing instability and shortages long term, for everyone.
I have read enough of Friedman to know he did not support UBI, and enough of your work to know you hear what you like and discount the rest. That article is more contrarian tripe again jam packed with rhetorical and ideological arguments sprinkled with economic terminology in a sad attempt to give it credence.
So we just go on as we are?
Subservient to an economy that serves humanity less and less with a growing accumulation of wealth in fewer and fewer privileged hands. Wealth not necessarily resulting from the work of those hands. It is more often than not inherited wealth or wealth gained from rentierism and speculation while more and more of those people who did actually create wealth are living on streets and relying on food banks after the industries they once worked in have departed leaving communities high and dry and destitute including less taxes paid and declining public services.
You don't offer any alternatives in your defence of Capitalism which in itself is a man made finite economic system.
I say start with the needs of human beings in developing an economy rather than the needs of an economy at the expense of human beings.
I am sure a proposition that Eric Arthur Blair would agree with.
As for money supply -there seems to be enough for the Pentagon to misplace 21trillion$
I don't have to have the answer to point out UBI is not a solution. An argument against UBI is not an argument for the status-quo. Big problems exist and need to be solved.
The problem is no matter how much or what you feel about this reality does not magically create more resources. Good intentions can have disastrous consequences often larger than the original problem that act was attempting to resolve.
You act as if we are operating under true "free market"capitalism, but we are not. Government and industry collude to minimize competition for certain oligarchs in exchange for offering the state access to its infrastructure and work around constitutional protections from government by operating within a private entity.
Your "bottom up" approach, while superficially I am sure feels quite noble but if you were to implement it you would create more suffering than you could even imagine, including for those you claim to wish to help.
We need to hold criminals within our government and infrastructure accountable. Enforce existing laws. We do not need to resort to a post modernist deconstructivist approach to every problem encountered.
Really good points. I'm really starting to explore this idea of a universal basic income lately. Thank you.
Hey, thanks for bringing up Maslow again. :)
I'm already on Manna. Will sign up for Swift, too.
Your article brings up another reason I like the concept of basic income. One thing that I've thought about with the idea of everyone doing what they want to do is this:
The diversity of human beings ensures that someone has a desire to do any job that needs to be done, and no force is required to make him do it. I have a fair amount of confidence that with a basic income for everyone, the right person will be attracted to the right job.
Interesting read, and I like the correlation with Monsters, Inc.
How would you address the problem with 'work that no one wants to do?'
Not many people likely take joy in taking out the trash, or in cleaning the sewers. I don't know how many people would necessarily volunteer to clean out the bathrooms of an office, or dig up the graves of the dead.
Wouldn't these types of work still require some high level of incentive for the individuals?
When you stop to think about it, our labor market is broken for work no one wants to do. When it comes to pricing for a job with low demand, employers should have to do more to make that job attractive. That should involve higher pay, better hours, better benefits, better conditions, etc. The fact those jobs tend to pay the least, shows that there is no free market for labor. People are doing those jobs because they have no ability to refuse them.
This is also bad for productivity and automation. Basically, humans are competing against each other, bidding down their wages to make their labor cheaper than robots, because they need the money to live. Thus, the cost of labor is below what it should be, preventing greater rates of automation.
We want robots to do the machines we don't want to do. If people ask too much to do an unwanted job, that makes automating that job that much more attractive.
I cover all of this some more here: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/01/why-we-should-all-have-a-basic-income
Good point, forgot about automation. Robots are probably the answer.
Automation and AI, in my mind, is the primary reason for discussing a UBI in the first place. Won't take long before machine learning takes a good portion of information-based jobs away.
More money, I guess. Those jobs nobody wants to do, but somebody has to, would warrant a higher salary.
I suggest Yours over steemit.
Not that you have to get rid of steemit.
I just don't like not being able to control whether I can delete or edit my content.
Steemit doesn't allow that. Yours does.
https://www.yours.org/content/ubi-is-like-capitalism---it-could-be-done-either-way-6804e74237a5
👏😭👏😭👏😭
Phenomenal. Thank you.
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You're welcome, Scott! You're one of the few people on the internet that I admire. I will never forget how you came to me for that article I did on basic income and Maslow's Hierarchy of needs, and in my own small way, this is to honor you and your work.
Write on!
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http://reason.com/archives/2018/05/13/universal-basic-income-still-fails