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RE: Logistic growth (S-shaped curves) and Technology adoption

in #adoption8 years ago

The curve of technology adoption is different from population curve.
It is described here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hype_cycle
In Ethereum we have just passed trough of disillusionment, Bitcoin have seen it. I think Steem will have to go the same way, be prepared. Not all survived. Gartner curve fit almost any technology: remember Apple Newton from 15 years ago, than nothing for 8 -10 years and now - smartphones are everywhere.

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The Hype cycle does apply, but differently. It covers hype about and around the new technology... not adoption and dissemination of the new tech... Right now blockchains and crypto are definitely on the steep curve in the hype cycle but they are still not widely adopted for the masses. Steemit is likely to accomplish greater penetration and wider adoption than anything before it.

https://steemit.com/writing/@gavvet/the-steemit-author-curator-hype-cycle